Advances in Consumer Research
Issue:5 : 1960-1978
Original Article
Which Assumptions Really Set Power Purchase Prices And Returns In United States Solar Projects.
 ,
1
Energy Finance Specialist, Redaptive Sustainability Services, Denver, Colorado, United States,
2
Partner, Precursor, Chattanooga, Tennessee, United States. Former Member, White House Environmental Justice Advisory Council (2024–2025).
Abstract

Three results determine the financeability of grid-connected solar projects: equity value, equity return, and tariff which a project can sign. This paper has determined the most significant input assumptions that contribute to net present value (NPV) margin, levered internal rate of return (LIRR), and the price that is necessary to sign a power purchase agreement (PPA). They are a project-finance cashflow model based on debt service coverage ratio (DSCR)-constrained amortizing debt, U.S. tax treatment to include the investment tax credit (ITC), interest capitalized on construction and a fixed-price PPA with smooth escalation. The analysis begins with a documented base case, varies a set of negotiated commonly negotiated inputs under systematically changing conditions price-solve and return-solve, capital expenditure per watt (including interconnection), bankable production (kilowatt-hours per kilowatt), base-year price and escalator, operations and maintenance cost, construction duration, debt advance rate and coupon, incentive and ITC transfer price, in a sensitivity analysis. Results indicate that there is a consistent hierarchy that the results are obtained in all three outcomes: delivered cost of capital, bankable production, and the base-year PPA price predominates the response of NPV margin, the LIRR and the required tariff. The secondary level under DSCR-based structuring using standard tenors, PPA escalation,

1routine O&M, construction time, and interest rate enhances early cash flows but does not alter the ranking of core drivers. By combining the outcome-specific rankings, one gets a single, transparent sensitivity ordering which can be directly used in screening and negotiation. The implication of these results is that the engineering to minimize delivered cost of capital and maximize net energy, coverage of stress testing during production and cost shocks, tariff requested indulgence, and interconnection cognizance and hazard must be the key concerns of developers, lenders, offtakers, and policy-makers. The modelling method, input set and ranking process are clearly defined so that the practitioners can repeat the analysis on other projects and portfolios and also incorporate the resulting hierarchy into underwriting procedures and in the procurement procedures

Keywords
Recommended Articles
Research Article
The Role Of Neuromarketing In Consumer Decision-Making
...
Published: 28/11/2025
Research Article
Challenges and Effectiveness of Law Enforcement in Implementing Anti-Trafficking Laws in India with Special Reference to Rescue of Women and Children
Published: 25/11/2025
Original Article
Non-Performing Assets And Bank Liquidity: A Study Of Indian Commercial Banks
Original Article
Bridging Gaps And Building Futures: A Sectoral Analysis Of Entrepreneurial Ecosystem Drivers For Women Empowerment In Kamrup, Assam
Loading Image...
Volume 2, Issue:5
Citations
48 Views
90 Downloads
Share this article
© Copyright Advances in Consumer Research