Volatility Dynamics and Predictability between Forex and Equity Markets in India: Evidence from BSE Sensex, NSE Nifty, and Major Currency Pairs

doi:N/A

Advances in Consumer Research

Issue:6 : 2586-2594

Original Article

Volatility Dynamics and Predictability between Forex and Equity Markets in India: Evidence from BSE Sensex, NSE Nifty, and Major Currency Pairs

Priyanka Dukhande

Madhu Duggal

Sameer Salunkhe

Vilas Chaudhari

⁴

Rahul Shah

⁵

Associate Professor, SIES School of Business Studies, Nerul, Navi Mumbai.

Assistant Professor, Lala Lajpatrai Institute of Management, Mahalakshmi, Mumbai.

Assistant Professor, Guru Nanak Institute of Management Studies, Matunga, Mumbai.

⁴

Industry Consultant, 3SV Edumentors and Consultants, Nerul (East), Navi Mumbai.

⁵

Faculty and Industry Consultant, Skill Recognition; Learning Center of India, Mumbai

Abstract

This research paper examines the interliquidity between currency exchange rates and stock market indices, specifically focusing on BSE-Sensex and NSE-Nifty. We aim to explore the volatility dynamics and predictability of these markets using advanced econometric models, including ARCH, GARCH, and their extensions. The study utilizes a 5-year dataset comprising daily exchange rates for USD/INR, JPY/INR, EUR/INR, GBP/INR, and corresponding index prices. Through detailed statistical analysis and model estimations, we investigate the relationship between currency and index volatility, the asymmetric behaviour of volatility, and the contagion effects between these financial markets..

Keywords

Forex

Equity Markets

Stock Market

BSE-Sensex

NSE-Nifty

ARCH

GARCH

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